Modeling of Persistence, Non-Acceptance and Sufficiency in Long-Term Energy Scenarios for Germany

Long-term transition pathways to a low-carbon energy system are analysed by applying the model REMod. All in all, paper contributes current research through an innovative scenario approach, using assumptions for societal trends and quantitative results scenarios, analysing paths towards climate neutrality defossilization 2050. In case study of Germany, these drivers influence technology composition each consumption sector (buildings, transport, industry). Across all it can be observed that electrification sectors is important system, as direct use electricity from renewable more efficient than carbon-neutral synthetic carriers. However, different consumer behavior (e.g., non-acceptance or resistance against specific technologies) influences not only (green) electricity, also changes optimal with greater efforts. One potential trend—sufficiency—could cornerstone reaching targets, required expansion exchange technologies lower thus facilitate transition.